Odyssey 2016

A pilot experiment relating to estimation of strength of evidence in forensic voice comparison is described which explores the use of higher-level features extracted over a disyllabic word as a whole, rather than over individual monosyllables as conventionally practiced. The trajectories of the first three formants and tonal F0 of the hexaphone disyllabic Cantonese word daihyat first from controlled but natural non-contemporaneous recordings of 23 male speakers are modeled with polynomials, and multivariate likelihood ratios estimated from their coefficients. Evaluation with the log likelihood ratio cost validity metric Cllr shows an optimum performance is obtained, surprisingly, with lower order polynomials, with F2 requiring a cubic fit, and F1 and F3 quadratic. Fusion of F-pattern and tonal F0 results in considerable improvement over the individual features, reducing the Cllr to ca. 0.1. The forensic potential of the daihyat data is demonstrated by fusion with two other higher-level features: the F-pattern of Cantonese /i/ and short-term F0, which reduces the Cllr still further to 0.03. Important pros and cons of higher level features and likelihood ratios are discussed, the latter illustrated with data from Japanese, and two varieties of English in real forensic casework.